Every week, I hear some version of the same question:

"Anna, has the market finally shifted to buyers?"

If you've been following the news, you've seen the headlines - rates are still elevated, inventory is up, and buyers are taking their time. So is this finally a buyer's market?

Not exactly.

After digging into July's numbers for Santa Clara, San Mateo, and Alameda Counties  and negotiating in this market every day- I'd describe it differently: we're in a more balanced market, one where strategy matters more than speed.

Market at a Glance - July 2026

Single-family homes. June figures in parentheses.

Metric Santa Clara San Mateo Alameda
Median Days on Market 14 (11) 13 (12) 15 (13)
Avg. % of List Price Received 102% (103%) 106% (107%) 109% (110%)
Median Sale Price $1,900,000 ($1,920,000) $2,150,000 ($2,150,000) $1,272,500 ($1,320,000)
Closed Sales 710 (830) 363 (439) 682 (765)
New Listings 835 (799) 342 (381) 856 (915)
Avg. $/SqFt $1,181 ($1,204) $1,295 ($1,275) $764 ($783)

The Biggest Change Isn't Price - It's Buyer Behavior

Six months ago, buyers felt like they had one shot. A new listing hit Thursday, open houses were packed all weekend, and offers were due Tuesday. Many buyers waived contingencies, offered well over asking, and hoped for the best.

Today's buyers are asking more questions. They're comparing homes instead of racing to buy the first one they see. They're negotiating repairs, requesting credits, and making decisions with more confidence.

The frenzy has eased. Demand hasn't.

What July's Numbers Actually Show

Every county in this update moved the same direction from June to July: homes took a few days longer to sell, and the average home sold for a slightly smaller premium over asking. Santa Clara's median time on market rose from 11 to 14 days. San Mateo went from 12 to 13. Alameda went from 13 to 15.

That's real softening - but look at where it started. An average home in Alameda County is still selling in 15 days for 109% of asking. Santa Clara, the "coolest" of the three by this measure, is still moving in two weeks at 102% of list. If this were a genuine buyer's market, we'd expect homes routinely selling below list and sitting for months. That's not what's happening.

Where the counties really part ways is price. Santa Clara's median was down about 8.6% year-over-year as of June, and slipped again month over month into July. San Mateo has been essentially flat - both year-over-year (+7.5% as of June) and month over month, holding at $2,150,000 two months running. Alameda saw the sharpest single-month move of the three, down about 3.6% from June to July.

Three counties, one region, three different stories. That's exactly why a national headline is the wrong tool for a decision this local.

Which Neighborhoods Still Have Multiple Offers

Not every neighborhood has slowed at the same pace. I'm still seeing real competition in parts of Los Gatos, Campbell, Sunnyvale, and Cupertino - anywhere with strong schools, tight inventory, and move-in-ready homes - as long as the property is priced and presented well.

Real estate has always been hyper-local. That's more true right now than it's been in years.

Sellers Shouldn't Panic - But the Playbook Has Changed

Every county above is still selling at or above list price, on average. That alone rules out a "buyer's market" in the traditional sense. What's changed is what it takes to get there.

Today's buyers expect professional staging, strong photography, thoughtful pricing, and move-in-ready condition. Simply putting a home on the market isn't enough anymore - buyers have too many other options to settle.

The homes generating multiple offers are the ones that look like the obvious best value the moment they're listed. The ones that are overpriced sit, cut their price, and often end up selling for less than they would have with the right strategy from day one.

What This Means for Buyers

If you've been waiting for the right moment, this may be one of the better windows we've seen in years — not because prices have collapsed, but because you finally have something that's been missing: options.

You can compare neighborhoods, negotiate repairs, ask for credits, and take a second look before committing to one of the biggest financial decisions of your life. That breathing room has real value.

My Take

So, has the Bay Area become a buyer's market?

No. But it's become a smarter one.

The days of buying whatever's available just because it's available are fading. So are the days of sellers expecting top dollar without doing the work to earn it. Today's market rewards preparation, strategy, and local expertise for buyers, that means recognizing real opportunities before everyone else does; for sellers, it means presenting your home so buyers feel like they've found the best option out there, not just another listing.

That's where knowing the numbers and the neighborhoods makes the difference.


Thinking about buying or selling this year?

Every street tells a different story. If you're curious what's happening where you live or what your home could sell for in today's market - I'd be happy to put together a personalized analysis based on real data, not headlines.